Egypt prepares for higher orange export volumes in 2025/26
Egypt
Thursday 18 December 2025
VU
Maturing orchards push the country's orange exports upward.
Egypt’s orange sector is entering the 2025/26 export season with higher available volumes as previously planted orchards reach full production. The key question for exporters is no longer expansion, but how additional supply will move through existing trade channels during the main shipping window.
Harvested area increases, plantings unchanged
Orange plantings remain stable at around 170,000 hectares. According to a recent market analysis, the harvested area is expected to expand to about 160,000 hectares as younger orchards reach commercial maturity, pointing to a structural rise in available supply rather than a seasonal fluctuation.
Production rebounds to around 4.0 million tonnes
With more orchards in production, orange output is forecast at approximately 4.0 million tonnes in 2025/26. This marks a recovery from the previous season, when heat stress limited yields, and defines the volume available for export without disrupting domestic pricing.
Exports projected near 1.9 million tonnes
Fresh orange exports are expected to rise to nearly 1.9 million tonnes, maintaining Egypt’s position as the world’s largest orange exporter. At this level, logistics efficiency and shipment timing become decisive factors alongside market demand, particularly in Europe and the Middle East.
Processing demand grows sharply
Use of oranges for juice and concentrate is forecast to increase by more than 60 percent, supported by expanded processing capacity. This provides an outlet for lower-grade fruit and helps stabilise the fresh export market in high-supply periods.
Valencia focus raises compliance sensitivity
Valencia oranges continue to dominate Egypt’s export profile, underpinning its late-season competitiveness. This concentration heightens exposure to residue limits, traceability rules, and inspection controls during the core export window from winter through summer.
Logistics and certification in focus
As volumes increase, export performance will hinge on certification compliance, cold-chain capacity, inspection timing, and port handling rather than demand alone, with operational discipline likely to shape outcomes as the season advances.