India’s mango crop tightens as production rises elsewhere

Global mango production is projected to increase by around 1–2% in 2026, as growth in Indonesia, China, Brazil and Mexico offsets weaker crops in India, Pakistan and Egypt, according to APEDA’s Mango Dashboard, based on combined data from APEDA, FAOSTAT, ITC Trade Map, India’s Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers’ Welfare, and Agmark.

India’s crop comes under pressure

India will remain the largest producer covered by the dashboard, although output is forecast to fall from 23.3 million tonnes in 2025 to 22.8 million tonnes in 2026, a decline of about 2%.

Unseasonal rain during flowering reduced fruit retention and affected export-grade availability. Alphonso volumes are estimated to have fallen by 40–50%, while Kesar and Banganapalli production declined by around 20–30%. Maharashtra, Gujarat, Rajasthan and Karnataka were among the main areas affected, and the Kesar harvest was delayed by around two weeks.

Lower supply pushes prices higher

Reduced availability has driven farm-gate prices sharply higher. Alphonso prices reached INR 1,000–1,150 (USD 10.39–11.95) per dozen, compared with INR 720–750 (USD 7.48–7.79) a year earlier.

Banganapalli and Badami prices increased to INR 4,000–4,500 (USD 41.55–46.74) per quintal, up from INR 2,700–3,000 (USD 28.05–31.16). Kesar reached INR 11,000–13,000 (USD 114.26–135.04) per quintal, compared with INR 7,000–8,000 (USD 72.71–83.10) previously.

The dashboard’s domestic price indicator stood at INR 7,362 (USD 76.46) per quintal in the first week of May, up from INR 5,905 (USD 61.34) in 2025.

Production rises in other markets

Mango production is forecast to grow by around 3% in Indonesia and Vietnam and by about 2% in China, Mexico and Brazil. Pakistan’s crop is projected to fall by 5%, while Egypt could record an 8% decline due to heat stress and poor flowering.

International export volumes under HS code 080450 are expected to rise by around 2–3% in 2026. Higher shipments from Cambodia, Mexico, Thailand, Brazil and the Netherlands are forecast to outweigh declines of 10% in Peru and 8% in Pakistan.

The code also covers guavas and mangosteens, meaning these international trade figures are not exclusively for mangoes.

India expands beyond the Gulf

India’s fresh mango exports increased from 18,858 tonnes in 2020 to 33,331 tonnes in 2025, although they still represented only 1–2% of national production.

The Gulf Cooperation Council’s share of Indian exports fell from around 81% in 2020 to 51% in 2025. Nepal, the UK and the US have become more important destinations, reducing India’s exposure to possible disruption in West Asia.

source and graphics: apeda.gov.in