US mango market faces lower Mexican shipments in 2026

US mango imports are expected to come under pressure later in 2026 as shipments from Mexico decline, according to the USDA Economic Research Service.

Mexico supplied 63% of fresh mango imports to the United States in 2025, making it the country’s largest source. However, USDA expects Mexican volumes to fall year on year as the current season continues into August.

Weather affects production in Mexico

Cold weather in March disrupted mango flowering in Nayarit, while warm temperatures affected the crop in Sinaloa.

The forecast marks a change from the beginning of the year. During the first five months of 2026, total US mango imports were unchanged from the same period in 2025, as higher shipments from Mexico compensated for lower supplies from Peru.

Peruvian volumes also decline

Peru’s shipments were lower during the 2025/26 season, which ran from October to April.

USDA said high nighttime temperatures reduced flower development, while unusually cold weather in late November and early December delayed fruit ripening.

Imports reached a record in 2025

The weaker outlook follows a record year for the US mango market. Fresh mango imports reached 1.32 billion pounds in 2025, up 11% from the previous year and above the earlier record of 1.27 billion pounds set in 2022.

The increase lifted estimated fresh mango availability to 3.8 pounds per person, more than twice the average recorded between 2000 and 2002.

Mexico and Peru both shipped record volumes to the United States in 2025. Together with Ecuador and Brazil, the four countries supplied 95% of total fresh mango imports.

source: nass.usda.gov

photo: snaped.fns.usda.gov