US tariff puts Brazilian mango exports at serious risk

Brazilian mango exports to the United States are now in question following the announcement of a 50% import tariff. Growers are anticipating a potential 70% drop in 2025 shipments, delaying over USD 50 million in expected sales.

In the São Francisco Valley, preparations for the August shipping season have been suspended. Exporters have put negotiations on hold due to market uncertainty and pricing challenges caused by the proposed tariff.

In 2024, Brazil exported 36,000 tonnes of mangoes to the U.S., generating USD 45.8 million. The 2025 projection was 48,000 tonnes, but that figure could fall to just 3.5 million boxes — about 30% of last year’s volume. Shipments were priced at USD 4.50 per box, with total revenue expectations of USD 54 million. Contracts are now paused, with the tariff qualifying as a force majeure event.

The tariff is set to take effect just as the mango season begins in mid-August. The delay in harvest due to colder weather further complicates timing. If enforced, the added volume may be redirected to Europe or domestic markets, where prices could fall due to oversupply. Mangoes currently leave Brazilian farms at around USD 4.66 per 4-kg box.

Market instability, shifting supply chains, and pricing pressure may cause more harm than the immediate loss in exports. Industry leaders warn that the broader impact could disrupt trade flows across regions.

The fruit sector is calling for a swift resolution, stressing that Brazil-U.S. trade in tropical fruits has long benefited both sides — supplying American consumers with fresh produce while supporting agricultural livelihoods in Brazil.

source: globorural.globo.com, datamarnews.com

photo: brazilianfarmers.com