Citrus supply in Japan stabilises after heat-driven decline

Japan’s citrus production is expected to rebound in 2025/26 after a difficult season marked by extreme heat and reduced yields, according to the latest USDA GAIN report.

Mandarin output fell sharply in 2024/25 as hot summer conditions weakened tree health and reduced fruit size, pushing total production down to around 744,000 tonnes. Satsuma mandarins were the most affected, while structural issues such as labour shortages and declining orchard area continued to limit recovery.

For 2025/26, production is forecast to rise to approximately 816,000 tonnes, supported by improved weather conditions and better flowering. Despite the expected increase, Japan’s harvested area is still contracting as many growers retire and few new producers enter the sector.

Lower domestic supply in 2024/25 led to higher imports, particularly of mandarins, with volumes rising to about 24,800 tonnes to stabilise the market. As domestic production recovers, mandarin imports are projected to decline to around 20,000 tonnes in 2025/26.

Fresh orange production remains minimal, leaving Japan heavily dependent on imports to meet demand. Import volumes are expected to ease slightly in line with improved mandarin availability. Grapefruit imports remain stable, while demand for locally produced acid citrus such as yuzu and sudachi continues to support domestic growers.

Read the full report here.

source: fas.usda.gov

photo: nippon.com